TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between SSG Landers and Lotte Giants is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The markets track the margin of victory, with outcomes based on which team wins and by how many runs.
Resolution depends on the final margin of victory in the SSG Landers vs Lotte Giants Korea KBO game on July 21, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The four outcomes cover different winning scenarios: Lotte Giants winning by more than 2.5 runs, Lotte Giants winning by more than 1.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by more than 1.5 runs, or SSG Landers winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each outcome resolves to Yes only if that specific margin condition is met in the final game result.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price spreads differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks aim to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what traders collectively believe about the spread outcome, often incorporating real-time news and sentiment faster than traditional oddsmakers adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value opportunities before kickoff.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and the equilibrium price updates continuously, ensuring the market stays responsive to changing expectations about the game's final margin.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the game concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by whether the actual margin of victory matches the spread terms specified in the market. Resolution is confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative data. Early or late settlement depends on how quickly official scoring is published and verified.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Trades by informed bettors or sharp money often signal shifting expectations and can trigger rapid repricing. Media coverage, expert analysis, and public betting patterns also influence trader sentiment. Late-breaking roster updates or coaching decisions in the hours before kickoff frequently spark volatility, so monitoring official team announcements and sports news feeds is essential for tracking potential market swings.