TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts predict the performance difference between the competing teams when they face off in a scheduled match.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game, each defining a specific winning margin threshold for either team. A 'Yes' outcome resolves if the specified team wins by exceeding the designated run differential—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 runs—in the contest originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. All markets share the same underlying game and timestamp, but differ in the exact run margin required for resolution. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting collective expectations for the point differential. The market’s price action adjusts instantly to new pitching changes, injury reports, or weather updates that might affect the contest. Volume of $10,655 shows overall participation levels.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on official box scores and league-verified statistics, closing the market after the game’s conclusion and score certification.