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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 8, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between SSG Landers and KT Wiz, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends solely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.
The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the SSG Landers vs KT Wiz Korea KBO game scheduled for September 8, 2026. If KT Wiz win by more than 2.5 runs, or by more than 1.5 runs, the market resolves to Yes for those conditions. Similarly, if SSG Landers win by more than 1.5 runs, or by more than 2.5 runs, the market also resolves to Yes for those respective conditions. Each rule addresses a different run differential threshold for either team’s victory, allowing participants to speculate on various possible outcomes regarding the game’s final score differential. The market is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the KT Wiz will win by over 1.5 runs. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the SSG Landers versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results, specifically the final run differential between the two teams. The market will determine whether the KT Wiz won by more than 1.5 runs, based on the official score at the end of the game. No further information is available regarding the process beyond this verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the SSG Landers or the KT Wiz would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, potentially affecting scoring. Furthermore, updates on team performance in recent games, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could impact traders’ beliefs and drive price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the game itself could also move this market.