TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts predict the performance difference between the competing teams when they face off in a scheduled match.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between SSG Landers and Kia Tigers, scheduled for August 29, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the winning team exceeds specific run differentials: Kia Tigers winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and timestamp, but each has a unique threshold for resolution. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through their bids and offers, which determine the current implied probability distribution for this market. The system updates prices continuously based on order book depth and recent trades, capturing how market participants assess the likely margin of victory. Factors influencing these prices include recent team performance, player injuries, and weather conditions — all reflected in the dynamic pricing model that balances buyer and seller interest without external adjustments.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game score after all regulation time, overtimes, and any applicable tie-breaking procedures that determine the point differential.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting lineup announcements, weather updates affecting play conditions, in-game performance metrics such as early scoring runs, and any late injuries to key players. Each of these can cause rapid reassessments of the likely spread outcome, moving prices on Kalshi as traders react.