TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts predict the performance difference between the competing teams in a scheduled match. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between SSG Landers and Kia Tigers, scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether a specific team wins by a designated run margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 runs. If any of these conditions are met as defined in the respective market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has independent resolution criteria. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, crowd-sourced view of probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on expert analysis and betting action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to tighter or divergent pricing depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-specific developments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic price that adjusts with new information and participation. The current top outcome reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team is more likely to cover the spread, with volume of $20,167 showing overall interest.
Key signals such as starting pitcher announcements, recent team performance trends, injury updates, or weather conditions affecting gameplay could shift this market. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of a team covering the spread may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, impacting odds and volume as the game approaches.