TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the SSG Landers and Doosan Bears in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria for the market.
The event evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the SSG Landers and Doosan Bears in their college baseball game scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT, exceed one of four progressively higher thresholds: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, resolving to 'Yes' if the total runs surpass that specific level. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both sets of odds moving closer together as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs will be over or under 9.5. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the market's expectation. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived likelihood of exceeding or falling short of the 9.5 run threshold.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the SSG Landers versus Doosan Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of runs scored by both teams in the completed game will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'Over 9.5 runs' side or the 'Under 9.5 runs' side. No further information will be considered in determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the SSG Landers or the Doosan Bears would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also a crucial factor, as rain delays or strong winds can affect scoring. Finally, even general sentiment shifts based on pre-game analysis or public discussion could drive trading volume and alter the price of contracts in this market.