TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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O/U 0.5
- Polymarket
O/U 0.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 13, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 2:13 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This group contains markets related to the Serie A match between SSC Napoli and Bologna FC 1909, covering various outcomes such as the match spread, over/under goals, and both teams to score. Markets exist for the full game and for the first and second halves.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between Limitless and Polymarket/Kalshi, and the market types differ (spreads vs. goals).Hero tip: Prioritize trading on Polymarket and Kalshi due to the correct game date. Be aware of the different market types and their associated risks.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Offers a variety of markets including spreads, over/unders, and both teams to score, all resolving based on the official final score from legaseriea.it (with fallback sources). The game date is September 13, 2024.
- Kalshi: Focuses on spread markets (Napoli/Bologna winning by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The game date is September 13, 2024.
- Limitless: Offers a 'Both Teams to Score' market resolving on September 13, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Uses a 50-50 resolution for postponed or canceled games.
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 13 at 12:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
Resolution depends entirely on the goal-differential by which either Napoli or Bologna wins the September 13, 2026 Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Napoli requires a victory margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, while a 'Yes' for Bologna necessitates a margin surpassing 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The official league-determined result, as confirmed by governing bodies and reflected in authoritative match records, governs resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states no official connection to the league or claim to associated trademarks and branding.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if both Napoli and Bologna score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Serie A match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their beliefs, leading to more dynamic pricing. This market, concerning the Napoli vs. Bologna match, may show discrepancies with sportsbook odds due to differing information or biases among participants. However, both sources can be valuable tools for informed decision-making, and comparing them can reveal interesting insights into public sentiment and potential value bets.
Prices on Polymarket and Limitless can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket currently favors SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 98%, while Limitless leans toward Napoli and Bologna both to score? These differences could stem from varying levels of expertise among traders on each platform, differing risk appetites, or even simply the timing of trades. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility.
