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SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 - 1st Half First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Inter vs Napoli?

Volume:
$587,001

Over 3.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 1:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155,257
N/A
N/A
$75,065
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$141,229
N/A
N/A
$83,437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,447
N/A
N/A
$78,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$96,350
N/A
N/A
$64,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,585
N/A
N/A
$19,813
Settled
Yes
predict

INT

View
33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

NAP

View
25%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,311
N/A
N/A
$19,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$780
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SSC Napoli

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bologna FC 1909

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks which team—SSC Napoli or Bologna FC 1909—will score first in the first half of their upcoming soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of SSC Napoli scoring first is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on official match statistics, with potential fallback to Flashscore or Sofascore if official data is unavailable. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, as the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets reference a different game (Inter vs Napoli) and focus on total goals, while Polymarket and Predict focus on the correct game (Napoli vs Bologna) and first team to score in the first half.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets as they are for a different game and use a different resolution criteria. Focus on Polymarket and Predict for the Napoli vs Bologna first-to-score market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to SSC Napoli, Bologna FC 1909, or Neither if no team scores in the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time of the SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 match. 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".'
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on over/under goal totals in the Inter vs Napoli match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Multiple markets exist for 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. These are not 'first to score' markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between SSC Napoli and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Inter vs Napoli professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The thresholds progressively increase, allowing for varied betting options depending on expected scoring levels. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming match between FC Internazionale Milano and SSC Napoli, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Internazionale Milano" if FC Internazionale Milano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on their own models and risk management, prediction markets let traders collectively price in real time, reflecting the latest data and sentiment. This can lead to sharper or more volatile odds, especially as match-day approaches. For example, if early betting trends favor a high-scoring game, prediction market odds may adjust faster than sportsbook lines, offering potentially better value for sharp traders.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, and tactical changes can all shift expectations and move this market. High-profile lineup announcements or recent form from either team may cause rapid adjustments. Traders will also watch for any in-play developments during the match that could affect the projected total, such as red cards or missed scoring opportunities.