TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SSC Bari vs. Empoli FC
Volume:
$171,496
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between SSC Bari and Empoli FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Three prediction markets track the three possible outcomes: Bari win, Empoli win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains an asymmetric cancellation clause that contradicts the win markets' cancellation logic. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating potential interpretation gaps.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Serie B and legaserieb.it announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the match is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket traders face a split resolution: draw YES, wins NO. Kalshi traders should seek platform clarification on cancellation handling before March 4, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Bari-win and Empoli-win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All three reference legaserieb.it as primary source and allow consensus reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match. Key Quote (Draw): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Key Quote (Wins): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
- Kalshi: Single unified market structure covering all three outcomes (Empoli wins, Bari wins, Tie). Each outcome resolves YES if it occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or source clause provided. Implicitly assumes match will be played as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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