TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both SS Lazio and AC Milan will score in the second half of their upcoming Serie A match. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome occurring is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Polymarket and Predict, and will resolve based on the official final score published on legaseriea.it. Keep an eye on the match itself, as resolution will occur based on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on September 12, 2026, the estimated date of the game.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the probability of an outcome. This market’s odds can be influenced by factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public opinion. Comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded understanding of the expected result.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform can influence prices. For example, Polymarket currently favors SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 98%, while Predict leans toward SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5. These differences highlight how distinct communities can interpret the same event in unique ways.