TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SS Lazio and AC Milan, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SS Lazio and AC Milan, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome – in this case, either SS Lazio or AC Milan scoring first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of them scoring first. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal during the first half of the SS Lazio vs. AC Milan match. If no goal is scored in the first half, the market will resolve as 'No Goal'. The outcome will be determined by official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result and market settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either SS Lazio or AC Milan would likely have a significant impact. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also move the market. Even general sentiment and public perception, fueled by pre-match analysis and punditry, can influence trader behavior. Unexpected weather conditions or referee assignments could also play a role, impacting the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first in this highly anticipated match.