TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game between SS Lazio and AC Milan, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the SS Lazio vs. AC Milan match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between SS Lazio and AC Milan, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the SS Lazio vs. AC Milan match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the probability of various outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there's substantial public interest and trading volume.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different 1st Half Exact Score outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by various factors, including pre-match analysis, team news, and even in-game events as they unfold. The total value of shares outstanding for any given outcome represents the collective belief of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first half of the SS Lazio vs. AC Milan match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at halftime will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official match data provided by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is settled.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either SS Lazio or AC Milan would likely impact the odds. Major tactical announcements from either manager could also shift expectations. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable football experts and any unexpected changes in weather conditions could influence trading activity. Even early momentum in the match itself, if widely reported, could lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.