TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan
kalshi
polymarket

SS Lazio vs. AC Milan

Volume:
$1,696,208

SS Lazio

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 3:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SS Lazio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$290,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lazio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132,166
N/A
N/A
$83,471
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AC Milan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$777,793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Milan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374,074
N/A
N/A
$315,114
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SS Lazio vs. AC Milan)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,526
N/A
N/A
$34,082
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Serie A match between SS Lazio and AC Milan scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets track three possible outcomes: AC Milan win, SS Lazio win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same official source (Lega Serie A / governing body statistics), with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Lega Serie A match statistics; secondary source is credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: AC Milan win (Yes on Polymarket Milan market, Yes on Kalshi), SS Lazio win (Yes on Polymarket Lazio market, Yes on Kalshi), or Draw (Yes on Polymarket draw market, Yes on Kalshi).
  • Match postponement: markets remain open until the match is completed; resolution deferred to actual match date.
  • Match cancellation with no makeup game: Milan win market resolves No, Lazio win market resolves No, Draw market resolves No on Polymarket (explicit cancellation rule) and implicitly No on Kalshi (no outcome occurs).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the actual match result whenever it takes place.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Milan and Lazio win markets resolve to No. The draw market resolves to No on Polymarket (explicit rule) and implicitly No on Kalshi (no match outcome to resolve).
  • Official statistics delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
  • Extra time or penalties: If the match proceeds to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition context), resolution is based only on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 15, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official statistics or credible consensus must be available within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate resolution; if postponed, resolution timing shifts to the rescheduled match date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.