This event group covers the Serie A match between SS Lazio and AC Milan scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets track three possible outcomes: AC Milan win, SS Lazio win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same official source (Lega Serie A / governing body statistics), with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie A match statistics; secondary source is credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: AC Milan win (Yes on Polymarket Milan market, Yes on Kalshi), SS Lazio win (Yes on Polymarket Lazio market, Yes on Kalshi), or Draw (Yes on Polymarket draw market, Yes on Kalshi).
Match postponement: markets remain open until the match is completed; resolution deferred to actual match date.
Match cancellation with no makeup game: Milan win market resolves No, Lazio win market resolves No, Draw market resolves No on Polymarket (explicit cancellation rule) and implicitly No on Kalshi (no outcome occurs).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the actual match result whenever it takes place.
Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Milan and Lazio win markets resolve to No. The draw market resolves to No on Polymarket (explicit rule) and implicitly No on Kalshi (no match outcome to resolve).
Official statistics delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
Extra time or penalties: If the match proceeds to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition context), resolution is based only on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 15, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official statistics or credible consensus must be available within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate resolution; if postponed, resolution timing shifts to the rescheduled match date.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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