TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SR Donaufeld and Grazer AK 1902, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SR Donaufeld" if SR Donaufeld are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grazer AK 1902" if Grazer AK 1902 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SR Donaufeld and Grazer AK 1902, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SR Donaufeld" if SR Donaufeld are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grazer AK 1902" if Grazer AK 1902 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal whether consensus leans toward one team scoring first or if uncertainty remains high. Traders often monitor both to spot mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader activity and order flow. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a continuous price reflecting the collective probability estimate of all participants. As traders buy or sell shares in either team scoring first, the price shifts to reflect new information. The system ensures liquidity and allows entry or exit at any time before resolution, with fees applied to trades.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Credible public sources, including official match records and sports data providers, confirm the result. Early resolution may occur if one team is mathematically eliminated or if the event is cancelled, though standard play determines the final outcome.
Team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day may favor one side's attacking style. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or pre-match commentary often trigger sharp price movements. Live match developments—early possession patterns, defensive mistakes, or goalkeeper performance—typically drive the most volatile trading activity in the final minutes before the opening goal.