TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SpVgg Greuther Fürth" if SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FC Nürnberg" if 1. FC Nürnberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "SpVgg Greuther Fürth" if SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FC Nürnberg" if 1. FC Nürnberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading on Polymarket. While sportsbooks may set fixed odds based on broader analytics, traders on Polymarket continuously adjust prices based on their own assessments, news, and in-play developments. This can create tighter spreads or sharper movements reflecting crowd-sourced expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling shares tied to possible outcomes. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the majority view, adjusted for recent trading activity and volume. As the match approaches, any shift in team form, injuries, or weather conditions can cause rapid re-pricing, influencing how participants value this market.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to score a goal during the match determines the result, and the platform will finalize the market based on official match records shortly after the game concludes.
Injuries, weather updates, or lineup changes could shift this market significantly before Aug 15, 2026. Strong pre-match form, recent head-to-head statistics, or tactical analysis may also sway trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster announcements or strategic adjustments by coaches often cause rapid price shifts on Polymarket as participants reassess the likelihood of an early goal.