TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 4:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SpVgg Greuther Fürth" if SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FC Magdeburg" if 1. FC Magdeburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SpVgg Greuther Fürth" if SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FC Magdeburg" if 1. FC Magdeburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event or if there’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome – in this case, which team will score first, or that neither team will. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of a share, the greater the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated reflection of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, if any, scores the first goal in the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg match. Official match reports and data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Greuther Fürth or Magdeburg would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even seemingly minor details, like weather forecasts predicting challenging playing conditions, could play a role. Unexpected tactical decisions announced before the match might also move the market as traders adjust their predictions.