TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis scheduled for September 22, 2026. Markets exist for Sportlust '46 winning, Excelsior Maassluis winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming KNVB Beker game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 22, 2026 between Sportlust '46 and Excelsior Maassluis.
The event determines the winner of a professional KNVB soccer match between Sportlust 46 and Excelsior M., scheduled for September 22, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Sportlust 46, a win for Excelsior M., or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to tighter spreads and more accurate pricing. Furthermore, the specific market design and available liquidity on each platform can influence prices. Different fee structures and trading limits on Polymarket versus Kalshi can also contribute to these price discrepancies, even for the same underlying event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Sportlust '46 or Excelsior Maassluis would likely cause price movement. Weather conditions on match day could also influence predictions. Finally, significant shifts in public sentiment or large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.