TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This soccer game’s resolution depends on which team leads after the allotted 90 minutes and stoppage time, excluding any additional extra time periods or penalty shootouts.
If Sportlust 46 wins the Sportlust 46 vs Blauw Geel 38 professional KNVB soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Blauw Geel 38 wins the Sportlust 46 vs Blauw Geel 38 professional KNVB soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Sportlust 46 vs Blauw Geel 38 professional KNVB soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and the specific focus on regulation time outcomes. While sportsbooks may include overtime or other scenarios, this market isolates the result strictly within the standard playing period. Traders may react more quickly to new information, causing odds to shift faster than sportsbook adjustments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set prices through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic market reflection of expected outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants, with chances displayed as implied probabilities. Volume and recent trading activity further indicate where sentiment is concentrated among Kalshi users.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome in regulation time only, without considering any overtime or tiebreaker scenarios. Once confirmed, the market settles according to the declared winner or draw.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or significant form shifts leading up to the match could move this market. Weather conditions, referee announcements, or any last-minute lineup updates may also cause traders to adjust their positions. As the event nears, any new information that affects the perceived likelihood of a regulation-time result can shift odds rapidly on Kalshi.