TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sportivo Ameliano and Cerro Porteno, focusing on the result after the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest is part of the APF Division de Honor, Paraguay's top-tier league. Outcomes include a win for either team or a draw, with specific resolution criteria for each scenario.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno match scheduled for August 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Sportivo Ameliano, a win for Cerro Porteno, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty phases from determining outcomes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their odds based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom and sentiment of participants. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or shifts trader sentiment closer to the event.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match outcome, which is then aligned with the market’s defined categories. Traders can track news and official score updates as the event approaches to anticipate the final settlement.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifts in team form could all influence this market as the match nears. Media reports, coach announcements, and betting trends may also affect trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments that impact the perceived likelihood of each possible result can cause price fluctuations, so staying informed on news and analysis is essential for monitoring this market’s movement.