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Sporting Kansas City vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Sporting Kansas City vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$160,862

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 7:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$159,600
N/A
N/A
$119,676
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sporting Kansas City

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks which team will score first in the upcoming match between Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, or if neither team will score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability shows Vancouver Whitecaps FC to score first with 67.0%, while Sporting Kansas City to score first holds a 28.5% probability. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official match statistics. Watch for the match conclusion on August 29, 2026, to confirm the first goal scorer.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market scope mismatch - Polymarket refers to a soccer match while Kalshi refers to a baseball game with entirely different teams and scoring rulesHero tip: These markets resolve completely independently. Do not confuse the soccer match between Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps FC with the baseball game between Kansas City and Toronto. They are separate events with different rules, teams, and resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First team to score in the Sporting Kansas City vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC soccer match within 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time. Resolves to 'Sporting Kansas City', 'Vancouver Whitecaps FC', or 'Neither' based on who scores first or if no goals are scored. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
  • Kalshi: Whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game. Resolves to Yes or No based on whether a run is scored in the first inning. This is a completely different sport (baseball vs soccer) with different teams (Kansas City vs Toronto) and different scoring metrics (runs vs goals). Key quote: 'If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps FC, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" if Vancouver Whitecaps FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Kansas City vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates activity across platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team or player scoring first. It displays total volume of $160,862 and 24-hour volume of $160,497, letting you see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts before the match. This view lets you compare expectations from different venues in real time.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can diverge due to varying user bases, liquidity conditions, and market design features. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, differing trading volumes — $160,862 across all platforms versus $160,497 in the last day — may lead to more pronounced price swings on thinner books. Each platform also applies unique fee structures and order types that shape how traders hedge or speculate, further influencing odds. Additionally, regional or thematic biases among participants can skew perceptions of team strength or match dynamics.