TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the MLS regular season match between Sporting Kansas City and San Diego FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Kansas City win, a San Diego FC win, or a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellations and postponements are handled. Polymarket explicitly addresses cancellation (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO) and postponement (markets remain open), while Kalshi provides no contingency language, creating ambiguity in edge-case scenarios.Hero Tip:
Monitor MLS official schedule for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If a cancellation occurs with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while Kalshi's resolution becomes unclear. Request clarification from Kalshi on their cancellation protocol. For normal completion, both platforms align on 90-minute plus stoppage time measurement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (San Diego FC win YES/NO, Kansas City win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled entirely with no make-up, draw resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Measurement: first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three mutually exclusive outcomes presented as a single event: Kansas City wins, Tie, or San Diego FC wins. All resolve YES upon their respective occurrence. No explicit language addressing postponement or cancellation scenarios. Measurement: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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