TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City score more goals than Minnesota United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC score more goals than Sporting Kansas City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City score more goals than Minnesota United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC score more goals than Sporting Kansas City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets typically incorporate a broader range of information and can adjust faster to breaking news or shifting sentiment. For this market, comparing the implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in factors the books may have missed or mispriced. Both sources offer value, but they answer slightly different questions about true probability versus commercial odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the crowd's collective belief about the likelihood of that result, with the total of all outcome prices always summing to one dollar. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between bid and ask prices, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position. The current price of each outcome is visible on the order book, and you can execute trades instantly at the displayed price or place limit orders to wait for your target entry point.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result recorded by the league and confirmed through established sports reporting channels. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift based on first-half performance, injuries, or other developments that traders believe will influence the second half. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed, at which point winning shares are paid out and losing shares expire worthless.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before it resolves. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders will adjust their expectations for the second half accordingly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns can also influence positioning. Momentum swings, substitutions, and red cards during the first half will likely spark significant trading activity. Real-time updates from credible sports media and official team communications are the most reliable signals; watch for breaking news in the hours before kickoff and during the match itself.