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Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC?

Volume:
$626

Sporting Kansas City

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 9:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sporting Kansas City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sporting Kansas City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single MLS match between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC scheduled for July 22, 2026, with markets determining which team scores first. The core question is identical across platforms: identifying the first goal-scorer within a defined time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope divergence: Polymarket caps resolution at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time), while Kalshi includes the entire game including extra time periods.Hero tip: If backing a team on both platforms, understand that a first goal in extra time resolves differently: Polymarket pays "Neither", Kalshi pays the goal-scoring team. Monitor match progression closely if it reaches extra time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal must occur within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded from resolution scope. If neither team scores in this window, market resolves to Neither.
  • Kalshi: First goal is determined across the entire game duration including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time from resolution scope.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting Kansas City" if Sporting Kansas City are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, resolution is based on the team awarded the goal by the referee. The "No Goal" outcome resolves to Yes if the match ends without any team scoring.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which team will score the opening goal in the Sporting Kansas City versus Minnesota United FC match. Traders on both venues place bets on this outcome, and the combined volume reflects real-time consensus. This market captures the probability that one side breaks the deadlock first, with prices updating as new information emerges. The dashboard consolidates activity from multiple prediction platforms, giving you a comprehensive view of how the crowd is positioning ahead of kickoff.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—buy and sell pressure from participants with real money at stake. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced intelligence because traders profit directly from accuracy. However, sportsbooks may have deeper liquidity and faster-moving lines during major events. For this match, comparing this market's implied probability to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or confirm alignment between venues.

Team lineups and injury reports are primary catalysts—the absence of a key striker or defender shifts scoring probability significantly. Weather conditions, field turf quality, and referee assignments can influence play style and goal likelihood. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff all drive repricing. Large trades from informed participants often signal conviction and trigger cascading moves. Breaking news about player availability or coaching changes can swing odds sharply. Monitor social media, official team channels, and sports news outlets for updates that reshape this market's trajectory.