TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC?

Volume:
$1,184,235

Kansas City

 - Kalshi

Kansas City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kansas City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$535,623
N/A
N/A
$371,121
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sporting Kansas City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$109,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$353,193
N/A
N/A
$195,022
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123,688
N/A
N/A
$80,858
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Sporting Kansas City will win their MLS match against Minnesota United FC. The aggregated consensus probability for a Sporting Kansas City win stands at 94.5%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from the official MLS schedule and scores page. The critical catalyst to monitor will be the match result on July 22, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation outcome divergence between Polymarket draw and win markets, and absence of cancellation clause in Kalshi markets. This creates ambiguity in the rare event of a permanent cancellation with no make-up game.Hero tip: Assume the match will be played as scheduled. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while win markets resolve NO—a logical trap. Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation rules and may remain open or require platform discretion. Request clarification from each platform before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Win markets (KC and Minnesota) resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up. All three markets remain open if postponed pending completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (KC win, Minnesota win, Tie) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Markets appear to assume game completion and resolution based on 90-minute result only. No guidance on canceled or indefinitely postponed matches. Key Quote: 'If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the result of the professional MLS soccer match between Kansas City and Minnesota originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: Kansas City victory, Minnesota victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds and consensus views on the match outcome. Both venues host active markets on who will win, with combined trading activity reflecting how the broader prediction market community assesses each team's chances. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing differences and track how sentiment shifts as the event approaches, giving you a unified window into distributed market intelligence on this fixture.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets rely on continuous trading between participants who buy and sell shares based on their own beliefs. This market-driven approach often reflects real-time information and crowd wisdom more dynamically than traditional sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges, though prediction market prices and sportsbook odds typically converge as the event date nears and new information becomes available.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices form. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have distinct user bases with varying information access or risk appetites, leading to temporary pricing gaps. Additionally, order flow timing and market depth vary between venues, so a large trade on one platform can move its price faster than the other. These differences typically narrow closer to resolution as arbitrage traders exploit the spreads.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any off-field developments affecting player availability will influence pricing. Weather conditions on match day and late-breaking tactical news may also trigger volatility. Additionally, if one team secures or is eliminated from playoff contention before the fixture, motivation levels could change market expectations. Monitor team news and league standings closely, as these catalysts often drive meaningful repricing in the final days before kickoff.