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406,422

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Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC?

Volume:
$390,733

Sporting Kansas City

 - Polymarket

Sporting Kansas City - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 10:56 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sporting Kansas City

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$103,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by 7 to 14 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles FC

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,224
N/A
N/A
$4,224
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C wins by 1 to 6 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,083
N/A
N/A
$3,054
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by 15 or more points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,753
N/A
N/A
$2,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C wins by 15 or more points

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,658
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C wins by 7 to 14 points

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$1,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by 1 to 6 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
$438
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks the winning margin between Arizona and Los Angeles C in their pro football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, specifically whether Los Angeles C will win by at least 15 points. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome is 44.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The second most likely outcome is that Los Angeles C will win by 1 to 6 points, with a 38.0% probability. Resolution will occur based on the point differential at the end of the game, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC soccer match on September 12, 2026, as detailed in the resolution rules, for potential insights into market dynamics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms are referencing entirely different sporting events, rendering any comparison of resolution logic meaningless.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi markets as they appear to be referencing a different event entirely. Focus solely on the Polymarket markets for the Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles FC soccer match on September 12, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the point differential in an Arizona vs. Los Angeles C Pro Football game on September 13, 2026, including overtime. Multiple resolution conditions exist based on point differential ranges.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the point differential between Arizona and Los Angeles C in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, including any overtime periods. If Los Angeles C wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by any margin from 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Arizona wins by between 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective market resolves to Yes. Each rule defines a specific range of point differentials for which the market resolves positively. The markets are independent, meaning each outcome category is evaluated separately based on the final score. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by traders directly forecasting the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market reflects collective intelligence. However, factors like liquidity—the volume of trading—can cause temporary discrepancies. Generally, higher volume in this market suggests a more efficient and reliable price discovery process compared to some sportsbooks.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also influence price formation. Furthermore, the way each platform presents the market—the specific outcomes offered—can lead to divergence. For example, one platform might focus on a simple win/loss outcome, while the other offers more granular options. These distinctions contribute to the observed price differences for the Sporting Kansas City vs. LAFC match.