TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.5b
24H VOL:
$251,268,536
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,056,367
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,864,438,999
455,542
Markets across
34,846
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,830
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC MLS game on October 24th. Markets include spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, with variations for the first and second halves of the game.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real money at stake. This market’s odds may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information sources and differing levels of market efficiency. Prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume of $304,179.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Different platforms may also attract traders with varying levels of expertise or access to information. For example, Polymarket might have a higher concentration of soccer enthusiasts, while Predict could attract more general prediction market participants. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are ultimately tracking the same event: the Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC match.