TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sporting Jax and Rhode Island FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Sporting Jax vs Rhode Island FC USL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the winning team's margin of victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Sporting Jax winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sporting Jax winning by more than 1.5 goals, Rhode Island FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Rhode Island FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome is assessed independently, and the market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule that matches the actual result. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Sporting Jax vs Rhode Island FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Sporting Jax will win by a certain margin, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Sporting Jax vs Rhode Island FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the governing sports league. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting Jax or Rhode Island FC would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact the market. Additionally, any news regarding weather conditions or referee assignments might influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed participants could also trigger price movements, reflecting new information or strategic positioning.