TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Sporting Jax and Pittsburgh compete in a USL Championship soccer match on July 15, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Sporting Jax vs Pittsburgh USL Championship match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Each outcome—Sporting Jax victory, Pittsburgh victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with applicable rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates those trader beliefs into a probability estimate. Comparing this market's implied odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where the two communities disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus gaps worth monitoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the current market price reflects the most recent matched trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares are bought and sold at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1 percent probability increment. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts in real time, ensuring the market stays responsive to changing expectations around the matchup.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the winning shares are paid out at full value, and all other positions expire worthless. The resolution hinges on the final, official result of the fixture as documented by authoritative sports sources, ensuring clarity and finality for all traders.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements that alter perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any external factors affecting player availability can shift trader conviction significantly. Weather conditions, venue dynamics, and late-breaking developments in the days before kickoff often trigger sharp price moves as new information reaches the market. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate where this market might reprice before the final whistle.