TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sporting Jax vs. Loudoun United FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sporting Jax vs. Loudoun United FC?

Volume:
$78,197

Loudoun United FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 9:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Loudoun United FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,108
N/A
N/A
$15,949
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Loudoun United FC

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sporting Jax

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,075
N/A
N/A
$13,900
Settled
No
polymarket

Sporting Jax

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,349
N/A
N/A
$13,018
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sporting Jax vs. Loudoun United FC)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer game between Sporting Jax and Loudoun United FC scheduled for September 25, 2026. Markets exist for Sporting Jax winning, Loudoun United FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket resolves win/loss markets to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi resolves all markets to 'Yes'.Hero tip: A game cancellation will lead to differing outcomes across platforms. Consider this when positioning.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This applies to the Sporting Jax win, Loudoun United FC win, and Draw markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes for all outcomes (Sporting Jax win, Loudoun United FC win, and Tie).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Sporting Jax and Loudoun United FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional USL Championship soccer match between Sporting Jax and Loudoun United FC scheduled for September 25, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are evaluated: a win for Sporting Jax, a win for Loudoun United FC, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, leading to more diverse information. This can result in discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and market friction need to be considered.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerances and information advantages, influencing their trading behavior. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $78,197 overall—can impact price discovery. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors mean that even though both platforms address the same event, the resulting probabilities for the Sporting Jax vs. Loudoun United FC match may not always align.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Sporting Jax or Loudoun United FC could impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also influence the outcome and, therefore, market prices. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.