TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of goals more than their opponent. The result is determined based on the final score after the regulation time of the match.
The event evaluates different winning margins in a professional USL Championship soccer match between Sporting Jax and Indy Eleven scheduled for August 15, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Sporting Jax wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Indy Eleven wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to speculative positioning and liquidity dynamics unique to trading venues. Traders may see shifts compared to sportsbook spreads based on real-time betting flows and public sentiment trends. The contrast highlights how decentralized markets price uncertainty differently than established sportsbooks, influenced by varied participant motivations and available information.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether Sporting Jax covers the spread or if Indy Eleven keeps the game within the set margin, closing the market definitively.
In the coming weeks, key signals like player injuries, coaching strategies, and recent match performance could shift expectations in this market. Momentum swings from early-game results on Aug 16, 2026 may also influence trader positioning. As the event approaches, updated polls, expert analysis, and betting trends will likely drive volatility. Any last-minute roster changes or tactical adjustments could further impact how traders price the spread ahead of resolution.