TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Primeira Liga match between Sporting CP and FC Famalicão scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets include moneyline outcomes (Kalshi), total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), point spreads at -1.5, -2.5 margins, and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same resolution scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), official source (Liga Portugal), and contingency handling (postponement, cancellation, incomplete games).
Primary resolution logic:
Liga Portugal official website (ligaportugal.pt)Core resolution logic:
- All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Moneyline (Kalshi): Resolves Yes for any outcome (Sporting CP win, Famalicão win, or tie)
- Over/Under markets (Polymarket): Resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold (2+ for 1.5, 3+ for 2.5, 4+ for 3.5, 5+ for 4.5); otherwise Under
- Spread markets (Polymarket): Sporting CP (-1.5) resolves to Sporting CP if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Famalicão; Sporting CP (-2.5) resolves to Sporting CP if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise Famalicão; Famalicão spreads mirror this logic
- Both Teams to Score (Polymarket): Resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
- Official source is Liga Portugal published final score on ligaportugal.pt
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: All markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
- Game Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no scheduled make-up game
- Incomplete Game: If the game is started but not completed, resolution follows the official final score published on ligaportugal.pt at the time of stoppage
- Extra Time and Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on February 15, 2026, based on the official Liga Portugal final scoreOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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