TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara
Volume:
$761,989
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Sporting CP and CD Santa Clara.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible match outcomes (Santa Clara win, Tie, Sporting CP win) and resolve YES for any of them, creating a logical contradiction where at least one market must always resolve YES regardless of the actual result. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving YES based on the actual outcome. This fundamental difference in market structure makes Kalshi's group unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a critical logical flaw where all three markets will resolve YES simultaneously after any match outcome. Polymarket's markets are properly structured: exactly one will resolve YES based on whether Sporting CP wins, Santa Clara wins, or the match ends in a draw. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs (Santa Clara win, Tie, or Sporting CP win), meaning all three markets will resolve YES after the match concludes, regardless of the actual result. This violates basic market logic. Key quote: 'If Santa Clara Azores wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sporting CP wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive markets (Sporting CP win, Draw, Santa Clara win) where exactly one will resolve YES based on the actual 90-minute match outcome, with clear NO resolution for the other two. Key quote: 'If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical structure for the other two markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.