TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara
kalshi
polymarket

Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara

Volume:
$761,989

Sporting CP

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 3:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sporting CP

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$295,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sporting CP

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$270,830
N/A
N/A
$170,568
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,884
N/A
N/A
$56,789
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Santa Clara Azores

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,429
N/A
N/A
$33,098
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Santa Clara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 between Sporting CP and CD Santa Clara.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible match outcomes (Santa Clara win, Tie, Sporting CP win) and resolve YES for any of them, creating a logical contradiction where at least one market must always resolve YES regardless of the actual result. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving YES based on the actual outcome. This fundamental difference in market structure makes Kalshi's group unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a critical logical flaw where all three markets will resolve YES simultaneously after any match outcome. Polymarket's markets are properly structured: exactly one will resolve YES based on whether Sporting CP wins, Santa Clara wins, or the match ends in a draw. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs (Santa Clara win, Tie, or Sporting CP win), meaning all three markets will resolve YES after the match concludes, regardless of the actual result. This violates basic market logic. Key quote: 'If Santa Clara Azores wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sporting CP wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive markets (Sporting CP win, Draw, Santa Clara win) where exactly one will resolve YES based on the actual 90-minute match outcome, with clear NO resolution for the other two. Key quote: 'If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical structure for the other two markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.