TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a national league, where the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes. The result reflects the competitive balance and scoring efficiency of the teams during the scheduled game time.
If Sporting CP and Arouca both score a goal in the Sporting CP vs Arouca Liga Portugal match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by a larger, more fluid pool of participants. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, but volume in this market is spread more evenly, it could indicate disagreement or additional information being considered by prediction market traders. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Sporting CP and Arouca will score. The price of these contracts directly translates to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of both teams scoring, while lower prices suggest the opposite. The market’s depth and volume contribute to price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Sporting CP and Arouca score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting CP or Arouca would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Even team lineup announcements close to kickoff could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team form or managerial decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 19, 2026.