TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.4b

24H VOL:

$152,239,259

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,622,981,384

471,589

Markets across

36,389

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,918

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF
polymarket
kalshi

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF

Volume:
$15,141,697

Real Madrid

 - Kalshi

Real Madrid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 17, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$94,752
$4,624,798
N/A
N/A
$3,199,312
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SL Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50,424
$1,055,092
N/A
N/A
$654,947
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$64,443
$409,027
N/A
N/A
$269,524
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,735,685
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,037,199
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279,895
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Real Madrid CF scheduled for February 17, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Real Madrid win, a Benfica win, or a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket specifies explicit 'No' resolution for win markets and 'Yes' for draw on full cancellation; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Monitor UEFA.com and official team sources for any cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders should expect the draw market to resolve 'Yes' while win markets resolve 'No'. Kalshi traders should demand clarification from the platform before settlement. Cross-platform arbitrage risk exists if cancellation occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Real Madrid Win, Benfica Win, Draw). Win markets resolve 'No' on full cancellation; draw market resolves 'Yes' on full cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Real Madrid wins, Tie, Benfica wins) presented as mutually exclusive. No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three outcomes are treated as discrete resolution paths with no fallback guidance.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.