TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Gil Vicente FC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Gil Vicente FC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional offers or public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of each outcome. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge as the event approaches, with prediction markets sometimes providing more accurate probabilities due to the diverse and informed participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of either Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Gil Vicente FC scoring the first goal in the match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and insights.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Sport Lisboa e Benfica versus Gil Vicente FC match. The official match records will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes will be addressed based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match results, ensuring a transparent and fair resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Major news events related to either club, such as coaching changes or significant player transfers, could also move the market. Any unexpected developments leading up to the kickoff of the Benfica vs. Gil Vicente match are likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price action.