TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Sport Lisboa e Benfica will win their Primeira Liga match against Gil Vicente FC on September 13, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a Benfica win is 100.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.ligaportugal.pt/. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 13, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Gil Vicente FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the SL Benfica vs Vicente Barcelos professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If SL Benfica wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If Vicente Barcelos wins under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.
This market will resolve to "YES" if both Benfica and GIL Vicente score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Primeira Liga match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, whereas prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook odds, particularly regarding team morale, potential injuries, or even subtle tactical shifts. However, as the event approaches, both sets of odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and arbitrage opportunities are exploited.