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24H VOL:

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24H TRANSACTIONS:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Gil Vicente FC
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Gil Vicente FC?

Volume:
$1,451,611

SL Benfica

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SL Benfica

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$325,382
N/A
N/A
$159,217
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$255,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Benfica and GIL Vicente both to score?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vicente Barcelos

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$412,372
N/A
N/A
$263,445
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$357,084
N/A
N/A
$121,221
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Gil Vicente FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gil Vicente FC

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether Sport Lisboa e Benfica will win their Primeira Liga match against Gil Vicente FC on September 13, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a Benfica win is 100.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.ligaportugal.pt/. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 13, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different platforms have varying definitions of the event being predicted (win/draw/loss vs. both teams scoring) and differing resolution source preferences.Hero tip: Carefully examine the specific question on each platform before trading. The win/draw/loss markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) are more directly comparable, but the 'both teams to score' market (Limitless) is distinct.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Focuses on the overall match result (win/draw/loss) with a defined fallback resolution process using multiple data sources and a 24-hour data availability window. Resolves 'No' if the game is canceled.
  • Kalshi: Focuses on the overall match result (win/draw/loss) after 90 minutes + stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalties. Does not specify a fallback resolution process.
  • Limitless: Focuses on a specific event within the match (both teams scoring) during regular time. Includes a 50-50 resolution if the match is not completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Gil Vicente FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the SL Benfica vs Vicente Barcelos professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If SL Benfica wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If Vicente Barcelos wins under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if both Benfica and GIL Vicente score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Primeira Liga match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Benfica vs. Gil Vicente match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong probability of one outcome, though opinions differ. Total volume for this market is $1,451,611, with $1,442,039 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment and provides a unique opportunity to compare predictions from different forecasting communities. The dashboard tracks the probabilities as they evolve, offering insight into how opinions shift leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, whereas prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook odds, particularly regarding team morale, potential injuries, or even subtle tactical shifts. However, as the event approaches, both sets of odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and arbitrage opportunities are exploited.