TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica score more goals than FC St. Gallen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC St. Gallen" if FC St. Gallen score more goals than Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica score more goals than FC St. Gallen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC St. Gallen" if FC St. Gallen score more goals than Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, prediction market participants may price the second-half result differently than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if one venue attracts more informed traders or if sharp money concentrates on specific outcomes. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and which venue may offer better value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome, and the cumulative positions determine the odds displayed on the dashboard. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium. This mechanism ensures continuous pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded in the official match record. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift as kickoff approaches or as live match data becomes available. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, settling all positions based on the verified result.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—can alter expectations for second-half performance. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary may influence trader sentiment as the event draws closer. Live first-half action is particularly impactful; if one team dominates the opening period or a key player is injured, traders will reprice their second-half forecasts. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking developments can also trigger trading activity and move the odds.