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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - First Team to Score

Volume:
$230

SL Benfica

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 3:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SL Benfica

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$180
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC St. Gallen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

FC St. Gallen 1879

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns determining which team will score the first goal in the upcoming match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The markets will resolve based on whether Benfica, St. Gallen, or neither team scores first within the specified time frames.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope Difference (Regular Time vs Full Game Including Extra Time)Hero tip: Traders should be cautious about the different time scopes used by each platform. A goal scored during extra time would resolve as "Yes" on Kalshi but as "Neither" on Polymarket if no team scored in regular time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Key Quote: "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on first goal during the entire game, including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Key Quote: "If SL Benfica records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)... if FC St. Gallen records the first goal during the entire game... if no team records the first goal during the entire game..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC St. Gallen, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC St. Gallen" if FC St. Gallen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market determines which team, if any, will score the first goal in the SL Benfica vs FC St. Gallen 1879 Europa League match scheduled for July 30, 2026. If SL Benfica scores the first goal at any point during regulation, stoppage, or extra time, that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if FC St. Gallen scores the first goal under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If neither team scores any goals throughout the entire match, the 'No Goal' market resolves to Yes. Own goals are resolved based on the team awarded the goal. The market covers the full duration of the match, including all possible playing periods, and is specific to the originally scheduled date, with no endorsement from FIFA implied.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates predictions across platforms, showing the current consensus and volume of $230. This view lets users monitor how traders price the likelihood of which team scores first, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and betting activity. The dashboard also highlights differences between venues, helping users spot trends in the short_topic as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can differ because of varying user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might have more active traders focusing on recent team form, while the other could be influenced by broader public sentiment or different risk assessments. These distinctions often lead to varied implied probabilities, giving users opportunities to compare perspectives and potentially arbitrage between the two venues.

Injuries to key offensive players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form of the teams can all shift this market. Additionally, weather conditions, referee announcements, and even pre-match media commentary may influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute lineup changes or tactical revelations are likely to cause noticeable swings in pricing on both platforms.