TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets focuses on predicting the exact final score of the Primeira Liga soccer match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Estoril Praia scheduled for August 31, 2026. The markets cover various possible scorelines and resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Estoril Praia, scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Estoril Praia match originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This event assesses various thresholds for the total goals scored in the SL Benfica vs Estoril professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for August 31, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the aggregate goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) surpass the specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. The thresholds increase incrementally, providing varied levels of challenge for a 'Yes' resolution. Each market operates independently, with its resolution determined exclusively by the final goal tally within regular time.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment and can price in nuanced outcomes like specific scorelines. Sportsbooks typically offer broader categories such as match result or over/under totals, while prediction markets let participants bet on the exact final score. This granularity can create price gaps; for example, a sportsbook might favor Benfica to win generally, whereas prediction markets could assign higher implied probability to particular score draws or narrow wins, influenced by recent team form and head-to-head data.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans who strongly back Benfica, skewing its odds toward outcomes favoring the team, while the other could have a more neutral, global user base. Trading volume also plays a role—lower volume can amplify price swings, especially on less liquid exact-score lines. Additionally, each venue’s fee structure and order-matching rules can influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.