This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica (SL Benfica) and AVS Futebol SAD scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Benfica win, AVS win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no makeup; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for its draw market, creating ambiguity in edge-case settlement.
Hero Tip:
Monitor game status closely. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw backers win automatically, but Kalshi draw position holders face settlement uncertainty. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol with support before Feb 21, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Benfica win (YES if Benfica wins, NO otherwise), AVS win (YES if AVS wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to YES and win markets to NO.
Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets covering all possible results: Tie (YES if draw), SL Benfica win (YES if Benfica wins), AVS Futebol SAD win (YES if AVS wins). All scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.