TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 4:21 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sport Boys Association and AD Tarma, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Boys Association" if Sport Boys Association are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Tarma" if AD Tarma are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Sport Boys Association and AD Tarma, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Boys Association" if Sport Boys Association are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Tarma" if AD Tarma are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. On prediction markets, traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating prices driven by collective belief rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their liability and extract a commission. This market may show different odds than major sportsbooks because prediction traders have different risk tolerances and information access. Comparing the two can reveal where professional and retail sentiment diverge on this matchup.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades placed by all participants; as more traders buy shares predicting one team will score first, that outcome's price rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers a price. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction, with the current odds visible in real time on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal. If neither team scores during regulation and any extra time, the market settles on that result. Resolution happens after the event is officially confirmed, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders.
Several factors can shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers significant repricing, especially if a key striker or defender is unavailable. Betting trends and sharp money flowing into one side can move prices sharply. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence trader positioning. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking information and final team confirmations typically drive the most volatile price swings. Monitor official team announcements and sports news for catalysts that could reshape this market.