TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 4:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Sport Boys Association and AD Tarma, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sport Boys Association vs. AD Tarma match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between Sport Boys Association and AD Tarma, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sport Boys Association vs. AD Tarma match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. Prediction markets typically incorporate information faster and may offer sharper odds in niche events where traditional sportsbooks have limited liquidity. However, sportsbooks may adjust lines more frequently based on sharp action, whereas this market's odds shift only when traders actively buy or sell contracts. Comparing both sources can reveal valuable discrepancies for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific outcomes, and the cumulative trading pressure determines the odds displayed on the dashboard. As more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises and its implied probability increases. The system ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution. All pricing is visible on-chain, creating an auditable record of market sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match between Sport Boys and AD Tarma concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regulation play. Traders holding shares in the correct scoreline receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing the platform to confirm the result and settle all positions automatically. Participants should monitor official match reporting to track when the market is likely to close.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 25, 2026. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or suspension confirmations—often triggers sharp repricing as traders adjust their models. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media outlets can sway sentiment toward or away from specific scorelines. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence trading activity. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking tactical adjustments or betting syndicates entering the market can create volatility. Finally, early match action itself—if the market remains open during play—will generate rapid repricing as the actual scoreline emerges and traders reassess remaining possibilities.