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2,403,290,006

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$1,452,035,386

405,032

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2,690

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5

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"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office

Volume:
$34,910

15m+

 - Polymarket

15m+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 5:23 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

15m+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

14-15m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13-14m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<11m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11-12m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12-13m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Spider-Man box office tracks the probabilities associated with different revenue ranges for the sixth weekend of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". You can view the current odds for various outcomes, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $2 and the total volume traded to date of $34,910. This allows users to see where the crowd believes the final box office numbers will land, and how quickly opinions are changing as new information becomes available. The dashboard also displays price history, offering a visual representation of how the market has evolved.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a strong likelihood of the sixth weekend box office falling within a specific range. It's important to note that prediction market odds represent the collective wisdom of traders, differing from individual analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer point estimates or ranges based on their models, this market reflects a dynamic, aggregated view of probabilities. Comparing this market to external forecasts reveals how the crowd's expectations align with, or diverge from, professional predictions regarding the Spider-Man film's performance.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual sixth weekend box office numbers for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from box office tracking sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified box office results. The market will close prior to this date to prevent trading on inside information.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before it resolves. Early box office reports for the fifth weekend, particularly if they significantly outperform or underperform expectations, could trigger shifts in trader sentiment. Critical reviews and word-of-mouth buzz, especially if they generate strong positive or negative reactions, will also likely impact the market. Unexpected news regarding competing film releases or major events that might draw audiences away from theaters could also move this market. Any significant developments related to the film's marketing or distribution could also play a role.