TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Spezia Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio
Volume:
$68,741
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Spezia Calcio and Frosinone Calcio scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties counted.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and force majeure handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes and win markets to No if the game is canceled with no makeup.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will win (Yes), while those holding Spezia or Frosinone win markets will lose (No). Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined and requires clarification. Avoid ambiguous positions until Kalshi's cancellation policy is confirmed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets: Tie wins resolves Yes, Spezia wins resolves Yes, Frosinone wins resolves Yes. All reference the same match scheduled Feb 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Logic implies any outcome meeting the condition triggers Yes resolution.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit edge-case handling. Draw market: Yes if draw OR canceled with no makeup. Spezia win market: Yes if Spezia wins, No if canceled with no makeup. Frosinone win market: Yes if Frosinone wins, No if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps all markets open until completion. Source: legaserieb.it.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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