TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Spezia Calcio and Empoli FC scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Spezia win, Empoli win, or draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket's draw market (resolves YES) and all other markets (resolve NO). This creates an outcome space where not all three mutually exclusive results can resolve consistently.Hero Tip:
In a full-cancellation scenario, the draw market will be the only profitable position. Traders should be aware that the three markets do not form a complete logical partition. Hedge accordingly or avoid holding all three positions simultaneously if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup; win markets (Spezia and Empoli) resolve NO on cancellation. Primary source is official Serie B statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting as fallback. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
All three outcome markets (Empoli win, Spezia win, Tie) resolve YES only if that outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market practice implies NO resolution on cancellation. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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