TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Spezia Calcio vs. Empoli FC
polymarket
kalshi

Spezia Calcio vs. Empoli FC

Volume:
$162,197

Draw (Spezia Calcio vs. Empoli FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 17, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Spezia Calcio vs. Empoli FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,994
N/A
N/A
$22,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Spezia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,317
N/A
N/A
$13,121
Settled
No
polymarket

Spezia Calcio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Empoli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,679
N/A
N/A
$11,695
Settled
No
polymarket

Empoli FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Spezia Calcio and Empoli FC scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Spezia win, Empoli win, or draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket's draw market (resolves YES) and all other markets (resolve NO). This creates an outcome space where not all three mutually exclusive results can resolve consistently.Hero tip: In a full-cancellation scenario, the draw market will be the only profitable position. Traders should be aware that the three markets do not form a complete logical partition. Hedge accordingly or avoid holding all three positions simultaneously if cancellation risk is material.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup; win markets (Spezia and Empoli) resolve NO on cancellation. Primary source is official Serie B statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting as fallback. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Empoli win, Spezia win, Tie) resolve YES only if that outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market practice implies NO resolution on cancellation. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.