TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 10:40 AM EST
Kalshi
A men's professional Test International cricket match between Speen Ghar Tigers and Band-E-Amir Dragons scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the match according to official cricket rules and governing body declarations.
Resolution depends on the official match outcome declared by the governing body. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, resolution follows that result. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregate trader belief—often incorporating real-time information faster. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus diverges, though sportsbooks may adjust more frequently around major events or news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, with the spread reflecting the gap between them. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move as new orders arrive and existing positions are filled, creating a continuous auction that surfaces the marginal trader's view of the outcome. Wider spreads typically indicate lower liquidity or higher uncertainty, while tighter spreads suggest stronger consensus and active trading.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect which team wins the match according to the official match record. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match analysis, team form, and any breaking news that affects expectations.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly. Team roster announcements, injury updates, or lineup changes for either side may alter perceived strength. Venue conditions, weather forecasts, or recent head-to-head performance data often trigger repricing. Pre-match commentary from analysts and expert predictions can also influence trader positioning. As the match date approaches, any official statements about player availability or tactical adjustments typically drive volatility in the final hours before play begins.