TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Sparta and Zwolle. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific values. The outcomes are determined solely by the regular 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Sparta vs Zwolle professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for September 4, 2026. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Sparta vs Zwolle match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the Sparta vs Zwolle goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches might also shift the market. Additionally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi, as they often monitor those markets for insights.