TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates different margin-based outcomes for an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Sparta and Heerenveen. Each market focuses on whether one team secures a victory by a specific goal differential. The collective markets provide a detailed perspective on potential performance gaps between the two teams.
The markets resolve based on the final score of the Sparta vs Heerenveen professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Sparta wins by more than 2.5 goals, Sparta wins by more than 1.5 goals, Heerenveen wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Heerenveen wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets are independent assessments of victory margins and are not endorsed or affiliated with the governing league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust the odds based on their own information and beliefs. Therefore, you may find that the implied probability of an outcome in this market diverges from what sportsbooks are offering. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to incorporate new information and perspectives. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic process ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Sparta vs Heerenveen match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the outcome, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift traders' expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or a significant change in team performance during recent matches, would likely cause noticeable movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role in influencing the market's direction. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.