TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Spain vs. Germany
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Spain vs Germany?

Volume:
$143,020

Spain

 - Kalshi

Spain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 1:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,704
N/A
N/A
$44,821
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain vs. Germany

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Germany

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,617
N/A
N/A
$30,825
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball game between Spain and Germany, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:45 AM EDT. The markets will resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific resolution rules differing between platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Kalshi uses a binary yes/no market that triggers for either winner, while Polymarket uses a categorical market requiring exact team specificationHero tip: Traders should treat these as separate bets. Kalshi will pay out for any Spain or Germany victory. Polymarket requires precise team selection and will split 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary market that resolves to Yes if either Spain or Germany wins - 'If Spain wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Germany wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical market that resolves to specific team name - 'If the Spain win, the market will resolve to "Spain". If the Germany win, the market will resolve to "Germany". If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 11:45AM ET: If the Spain win, the market will resolve to "Spain". If the Germany win, the market will resolve to "Germany". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Germany vs Spain women's professional FIBA World Cup basketball game scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 11:45 AM EDT. If Spain wins, the Spain market resolves to Yes; if Germany wins, the Germany market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often reflect trader sentiment more dynamically than sportsbook lines, which may incorporate broader factors like public betting patterns and house margins. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on their analysis, prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges — such as player injuries or weather conditions — allowing for sharper, real-time pricing. Traders can use this market to gauge where the crowd-sourced wisdom stands, potentially finding value when there’s a noticeable gap between the two types of odds.