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2,924

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Spain vs. Czechia
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Spain vs Czechia?

Volume:
$7,639,972

Spain

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,409,252
N/A
N/A
$1,733,239
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,212,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ESP

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$13,980
$310,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
6%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$268
$24,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$874,747
N/A
N/A
$539,456
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Spain vs. Czechia)

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CZE

View
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$5,366
$26,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Czechia

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,089,862
N/A
N/A
$926,656
Settled
No
polymarket

Czechia

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$590,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Spain will win their UEFA Nations League soccer match against Czechia on October 3, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Spain winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official UEFA statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 3, 2026, as the final result will determine market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a clear hierarchy of data sources for resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary resolution source is the official statistics from the governing body (UEFA).
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • The result considered is the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Cancellation of the game without a reschedule results in a 'No' resolution for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets on Polymarket/Predict, and a 'Tie' resolution on Kalshi.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets will remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely without a reschedule, win markets resolve 'No' (Polymarket/Predict) and draw markets resolve 'Yes' (Polymarket/Predict). Kalshi resolves to 'Tie'.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official results are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Spain and Czechia.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Spain vs Czechia UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Spain wins, the 'Spain' market resolves to Yes. If Czechia wins, the 'Czechia' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Spain and Czechia.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Spain vs. Czechia match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $7,639,972, with $7,009,798 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities as expressed by market participants. The dashboard provides a single location to monitor how predictions evolve leading up to the event, offering a comprehensive overview of expectations for this match. It’s a valuable resource for anyone interested in the predictive wisdom of the crowd regarding this sporting contest.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs, creating a more dynamic and potentially accurate forecast. This market, for example, may reflect information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, such as injury reports or team morale. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous updating as new information becomes available, leading to potentially sharper pricing than static sportsbook odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Spain vs. Czechia match can arise due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence pricing. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $7,639,972 overall – isn't necessarily evenly distributed, potentially creating imbalances. These dynamics result in distinct probabilities being expressed for the same event on different prediction markets.